The Rising Tide -
Cause, Effects and Planning
for Rising Sea Level
Economic
and Environmental Value from Wetlands
Environmental Impacts
The environmental services provided by wetlands are
essential to the future of the Chesapeake Bay. Wetland losses
at the level forecasted would negate any progress made to date
toward restoration of the Chesapeake Bay and probably trigger
an ecosystem collapse that would doom the Bay.
Wetlands are estimated to have the highest productivity of
any ecosystem on Earth, exceeding the productivity and environmental
services provided by tropical rainforests – by seven
times. Wetlands are also one of the most diverse ecosystems
on Earth. The value of the functions provided by wetlands – nutrient
and pollution removal, water quality improvement, groundwater
recharge, habitat, recreation, etc. – is estimated to
be nearly $6,000 per acre per year.
Water quality is improved as wetlands remove excess nutrients
(nitrogen and phosphorous) and trap sediments and decompose
any toxins attached to them. Until saturated, wetlands can
process up to 80% of the nitrogen and phosphorous entering
them. Fecal contamination from animals and runoff from poorly
constructed septic fields are trapped by wetlands and detoxified
naturally. To replace these free water quality services would
be very expensive.
Wetlands serve as essential fish habitat for the majority
of fish in the Chesapeake Bay. They are nurseries for
juvenile fish, providing safety from many predators, as well
as a rich food supply.
A
major habitat concern in the mid-Atlantic region is the loss
of migratory waterfowl habitat. The major mid-Atlantic wildlife
refuges have extensive vegetated tidal wetlands and are thus
all at low elevations and at risk from sea level rise. Back
Bay, Fisherman’s Island, Blackwater, Chincoteague
and Cape May National Wildlife Refuges all face serious loss
of vegetated wetlands. Blackwater is the focus of a major marsh
restoration effort (http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/blackwater.html )
while analysis of wetlands loss and inundation at the other
refuges is just beginning.
Rising sea would make the Bay saltier, disrupting ecosystem
balance and increasing the potential for disease among oysters.
The shoreline would be threatened as communities and individual
homes in low-lying zones became flooded, increasing sediment
loading and threatening submerged aquatic vegetation and shellfish.
Economic Impacts
Wetlands provide fish and wildlife habitat for 75% of the
commercial fishery and almost 90% of the recreational fishery.
Two-thirds of the species that make
up the commercial and recreational fishery (including crabs
and fish) spend some stage of their life within tidal wetlands.
As noted above, they provide essential habitat for migratory
birds as well. Recreation, hunting, and fishing are also dependent
upon wetlands – generating
many billions of dollars a year.
There
will also be significant impacts on our beaches and dunes from
sea level rise. Scientists estimate that a one-foot rise in
sea level will produce a loss of at least 100 feet of beach
in this region. So a two-foot rise in relative sea level will
cause at least 200 feet of beach to be sucked into the ocean.
As with wetlands, if there is development behind the beach,
the beaches cannot migrate landward. Worse, as soon as a storm
surge hits a bulkhead or sea wall, the remaining beach will
become scoured out and also disappear.
This not only means the loss of environmental features that
generate money (tourists coming to play on the 300 foot wide
beach at Virginia Beach) it also means the loss of critical
dune and beach habitat, not to mention the need for very expensive
shoreline protection programs.
Flooding doesn’t have to happen every day to cause damage.
Increased storm activity and higher sea levels have already
caused occasional, storm-driven flooding that is affecting
life in coastal communities. In 2006, Southeastern Virginia
experienced three of the highest
storm surges measured this century. Sea level rise
has contributed to higher surges in recent years – remember
the same storm in 1900 would have produced a one-foot lower
storm surge. As sea level rises, storm surges will get higher
and higher, relative to the past. And, some predict that warmer
oceans will mean more storms reaching farther north, potentially
causing the Chesapeake Bay to experience more inundation.
Major commercial insurance carriers are no longer offering
coverage in coastal areas of Virginia. Allstate will
no longer write new property insurance policies in
the counties of Accomack, Gloucester,
Isle of Wight, King and Queen, Lancaster,
Matthews, Middlesex, Northumberland,
Northampton, Southampton, Surrey, Sussex,
York counties or the cities of Chesapeake, Franklin, Hampton,
Newport News, Norfolk, Virginia Beach – localities
with a combined population of 1.5 million people.
Nationwide
will no longer insure new property within one mile of the
coastline. In addition, State Farm has pulled out of coastal
areas for new policies. Together the companies limiting new
insurance coverage represent 55 % of the private insurance
providers in the mid-Atlantic region. Remaining insurers
in Virginia have announced a mandatory 5 % hurricane deductible,
up from 2-3% previously.
There are a number of news reports on the impacts of these
moves: See the Washington Post article, “A
Dream Blown Away” or the Baltimore Sun
Article, “Insurers
Shrink from the Coast”
In Hampton Roads and elsewhere in Tidewater Virginia, the
impacts of these storms are being felt today. Homes are already
being raised
off of their foundations and out of the flood zone – at
great taxpayer expense – the Federal Emergency Management
Administration (FEMA) pays 75% of the cost of this work, up
to $40,000 a home.
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